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Gladstone region: Non–resident population projections, 2016 to 2022

This table provides data to supplement the Gladstone region non–resident population projections, 2016 to 2022 report.

LGA(a) Projection series Number of non–resident workers on-shift(b)
Estimated Projected
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
— number —
Gladstone (R)(c) Series A 5,430 1,580 430 400 430 400 400 400
Series B 5,430 1,580 430 400 430 400 400 460
Series C 5,430 1,580 430 410 1,220 1,010 760 540
(R)  Regional Council
(a)  Boundaries are based on the 2011 edition of the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS).
(b)  Represents an estimate for 30 June of the indicated year. Temporary peaks and falls in project workforces may occur in between these mid-year estimates for successive years.
(c)  There is no Series D projection for Gladstone (R) in this edition.
 
Figures in this table have been rounded to the nearest 10; any internal discrepancies are due to rounding.
 
Explanatory notes
 
QGSO’s 2016 to 2022 non–resident population projections contain up to four different series, which represent a range of possible outcomes arising from the future development of resource projects and operations. Projections are based on information provided by industry regarding existing operations and future projects.
 
The four projection series are largely based on the status of projects in the environmental impact statement (EIS) process at the time of preparation (March 2016). The projections also include some projects outside the approvals process.
Series A projection is based on the number of non–resident workers on-shift who were engaged in existing resource operations and associated infrastructure activities in the area at June 2015. The projection takes into account future changes to those operational workforces as advised by resource company sources, as well as the estimated non–resident construction and operational workforces of Category A projects (i.e. those that had reached final investment decision (FID)) at the time of preparation.
Series B projection includes the Series A projection plus projected growth in the non-resident population arising from Category B projects (those that have an EIS approved but have yet to reach FID).
Series C projection includes the Series A and B projections, plus the projected growth in the non-resident population arising from Category C projects (those that have lodged an EIS, but have yet to proceed through to final approval).
Series D projection includes Series A, B and C projections, plus the projected growth in the non-resident population from Category D projects (those that have yet to publish an EIS, including projects that have lodged an initial advice statement (IAS) as well as projects that have yet to begin the approvals process).
Where FID for an approved project has been delayed indefinitely, or in circumstances where it is not possible to give consideration to indicative workforce data or sequencing, the project is designated as Category E and is not included in any of the four projection series. Other projects that are dependent on Category E projects in order to commence are also designated as Category E, and excluded from consideration.
See Gladstone region non–resident population projections, 2016 to 2022 for further detail on methodology, caveats, and a full list of existing operations and future projects included in each projection series.
 
Users of these projections should note that there is a degree of uncertainty about the likelihood of these projects proceeding as assumed, and as such the projections should be regarded as being indicative scenarios rather than probabilistic predictions. QGSO does not advocate any one of these four projection series as being the most likely or favoured outcome.
 
For further information please visit the QGSO website at www.qgso.qld.gov.au.
 
Source: Queensland Government Statistician's Office (QGSO), Non–resident population projections, 2016 to 2022
 
Disclaimer: While care has been taken in preparing these tables, Queensland Treasury accepts no responsibility for decisions or actions taken as a result of the use of the information.
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Last reviewed 27 June 2017